War on People

The US Drug War was fabricated and escalated for political utility, not public good. It was more about criminalizing groups of people who were political threats than about safety and order.

The Nixon campaign in 1968, and the Nixon White House after that, had two enemies: the antiwar left and black people. You understand what I’m saying? We knew we couldn’t make it illegal to be either against the war or black, but by getting the public to associate the hippies with marijuana and blacks with heroin, and then criminalizing both heavily, we could disrupt those communities. We could arrest their leaders, raid their homes, break up their meetings, and vilify them night after night on the evening news. Did we know we were lying about the drugs? Of course we did.

John Ehrlichman, domestic policy advisor to President Richard Nixon

The Drug War is a total failure. It has cost taxpayers more than $1 trillion so far. Its outcomes are literal death and the socioeconomic destruction of millions of people’s lives. Its effects are highly entangled across life domains of housing, employment, public benefits, immigration, child welfare, and education, and have rippled throughout the world.

The War on Drugs is a War on People. It is inhumane. It must stop. Politically diverse policy-oriented think tanks (Americans for Prosperity, Brookings Institution, CATO Institute, Center for American Progress) fundamentally agree.

Punishment

Because one of the main tactics of the Drug War is law enforcement, one of its main functions is incarceration.

20406080100120140 Map of US states color-coded to represent number of people incarcerated for drugs per 100,00 state residents by state. The top five states, colored in the bright yellow/orange end of the spectrum, that incarcerate the most people for drugs are 1. Idaho (144 people per 100,000 state residents), 2. Arizona (132 people per 100,000 state residents), 3. Kentucky (101 people per 100,000 state residents), 4. Indiana (100 people per 100,000 state residents), and 5. South Dakota (97 people per 100,000 state residents). The bottom five states, colored in the deep purple end of the spectrum, that incarcerate the fewest people for drugs are 1. California (5 people per 100,000 state residents), 2. Alaska (6 people per 100,000 state residents), 3. Vermont (8 people per 100,000 state residents), 4. Connecticut (12 people per 100,000 state residents), 5. Rhode Island (13 people per 100,000 state residents).Arizona: 132 per 100k state residentsLouisiana: 79 per 100k state residentsIdaho: 144 per 100k state residentsMinnesota: 23 per 100k state residentsNorth Dakota: 47 per 100k state residentsSouth Dakota: 97 per 100k state residentsNew York: 20 per 100k state residentsAlaska: 6 per 100k state residentsGeorgia: 42 per 100k state residentsIndiana: 100 per 100k state residentsMichigan: 37 per 100k state residentsMississippi: 97 per 100k state residentsOhio: 56 per 100k state residentsTexas: 54 per 100k state residentsNebraska: 40 per 100k state residentsColorado: 20 per 100k state residentsMaryland: 21 per 100k state residentsKansas: 68 per 100k state residentsIllinois: 24 per 100k state residentsWisconsin: 44 per 100k state residentsCalifornia: 5 per 100k state residentsIowa: 44 per 100k state residentsPennsylvania: 34 per 100k state residentsMontana: 23 per 100k state residentsMissouri: 58 per 100k state residentsFlorida: 41 per 100k state residentsKentucky: 101 per 100k state residentsMaine: 28 per 100k state residentsUtah: 20 per 100k state residentsOklahoma: 71 per 100k state residentsTennessee: 82 per 100k state residentsOregon: 21 per 100k state residentsWest Virginia: 34 per 100k state residentsArkansas: 93 per 100k state residentsWashington: 13 per 100k state residentsNorth Carolina: 38 per 100k state residentsVirginia: 55 per 100k state residentsWyoming: 79 per 100k state residentsAlabama: 61 per 100k state residentsSouth Carolina: 52 per 100k state residentsNew Mexico: 54 per 100k state residentsNew Hampshire: 25 per 100k state residentsVermont: 8 per 100k state residentsNevada: 25 per 100k state residentsHawaii: 14 per 100k state residentsMassachusetts: 15 per 100k state residentsRhode Island: 13 per 100k state residentsNew Jersey: 35 per 100k state residentsDelaware: 29 per 100k state residentsConnecticut: 12 per 100k state residentsDistrict of Columbia: NaN per 100k state residents
Hover over or tap a state to see its statistic. Number of people incarcerated for drugs per 100,000 state residents by state – computed as number of sentenced prisoners in state custody with most serious offense being drug-related in 2020 [number of sentenced prisoners in state custody in 2020 * percent of sentenced prisoners in state custody with most serious offense being drug-related (Bureau of Justice Statistics) / 100] / state population total in 2020 (Decennial Census via tidycensus API) * 100,000. Resources used to compute these statistics can be found here.

In theory, incarceration is intended as a deterrent, in this case to deter people from drug use and abuse. However, incarceration does not reduce drug use or abuse. Incarceration does not even stop drug use while incarcerated. Moreover, overdose deaths in prisons have risen dramatically in recent years and risk of overdose death upon release from prison is staggeringly high. Incarceration is not only an ineffective intervention, but also discriminatory. The whole pipeline is racist, actually. For example, despite similar rates of drug use, Black people are more likely than are White people to be targeted for drug testing; are more likely to be stopped, searched, arrested, charged, incarcerated, and serve longer sentences for drugs, and are thus more likely to carry criminal records with them that block pathways to wellbeing and success.

We really like to punish people. The US incarcerates vastly more people per capita than any nation on Earth. We continue to invest heavily in incarceration – annually, $182 billion overall. With 1 in 5 people incarcerated for drug-related offenses at federal, state, and local levels combined that comes out to about $36.4 billion spent annually on drug-related incarceration.

Punishment vs Support

States, in particular, are overinvesting in incarceration relative to mental health. On average, states spend 22% more on incarceration ($193 per capita) than on mental health ($155 per capita). And states spend 8% more on drug-related incarceration ($25 per capita) than on substance use disorder treatment ($23 per capita). This is our money, by the way. Tax dollars at work.

Spending on Incarceration and Mental Health

1020304050 Map of US states color-coded to represent spending per state resident on incarcerating people for drugs by state. The top five states, colored in the bright yellow/orange end of the spectrum, that spend the most on incarcerating people for drugs are 1. Idaho ($59.47 per state resident), 2. Wyoming ($53.42 per state resident), 3. Arizona ($42.80 per state resident), 4. Kentucky ($40.50 per state resident), and 5. North Dakota ($39.14 per state resident). The bottom five states, colored in the deep purple end of the spectrum, that spend the least on incarcerating people for drugs are 1. Nevada ($8.19 per state resident), 2. California ($8.35 per state resident), 3. Alaska ($10.85 per state resident), 4. Washington ($11.49 per state resident), 5. Colorado ($11.77 per state resident).Arizona: $42.80 per state residentLouisiana: $20.64 per state residentIdaho: $59.47 per state residentMinnesota: $19.39 per state residentNorth Dakota: $39.14 per state residentSouth Dakota: $35.10 per state residentNew York: $19.75 per state residentAlaska: $10.85 per state residentGeorgia: $15.74 per state residentIndiana: $30.48 per state residentMichigan: $21.18 per state residentMississippi: $19.68 per state residentOhio: $27.50 per state residentTexas: $17.57 per state residentNebraska: $34.23 per state residentColorado: $11.77 per state residentMaryland: $23.05 per state residentKansas: $34.52 per state residentIllinois: $13.64 per state residentWisconsin: $28.45 per state residentCalifornia: $8.35 per state residentIowa: $22.68 per state residentPennsylvania: $25.13 per state residentMontana: $22.89 per state residentMissouri: $17.95 per state residentFlorida: $16.38 per state residentKentucky: $40.50 per state residentMaine: $32.18 per state residentUtah: $28.81 per state residentOklahoma: $20.78 per state residentTennessee: $31.18 per state residentOregon: $22.86 per state residentWest Virginia: $22.47 per state residentArkansas: $35.15 per state residentWashington: $11.49 per state residentNorth Carolina: $25.33 per state residentVirginia: $27.53 per state residentWyoming: $53.42 per state residentAlabama: $20.71 per state residentSouth Carolina: $22.86 per state residentNew Mexico: $33.81 per state residentNew Hampshire: $15.51 per state residentVermont: $14.37 per state residentNevada: $8.19 per state residentHawaii: $18.93 per state residentMassachusetts: $30.32 per state residentRhode Island: $23.28 per state residentNew Jersey: $20.60 per state residentDelaware: $39.02 per state residentConnecticut: $13.77 per state resident
Hover over or tap a state to see its statistic. Expenditure per state resident on incarcerating people for drugs by state – computed as expenditure on drug-related state incarceration in millions of dollars in 2020 [expenditure on state incarceration in millions of dollars in 2020 (National Association of State Budget Officers * percent of sentenced prisoners in state custody with most serious offense being drug-related (Bureau of Justice Statistics / 100] * 1,000,000 / state population total in 2020 (Decennial Census via tidycensus API). Resources used to compute these statistics can be found here.

Incarceration is punishment. Nothing more. Not a deterrent. Not a treatment. Not effective. Only destructive. Some things may deserve punishment. Drug abuse is not one of those things. It is especially undeserving of such a devastating punishment as incarceration.

Drug abuse is a health issue, not a criminal justice issue. Yet we spend an obscene amount of money on punishing people, generally. And we spend a whole lot just on punishing a subset of those people for something that does not deserve punishment.

It also seems like we’re punishing people for being poor. States with high poverty rates incarcerate more people for drugs (ρ = .73) and spend less on mental health (ρ = -.56). There are a lot of potential explanations for those relationships, but explanations aside, those relationships do help identify which states are more into punishment and which are more into support.

Expenditure on mental health by number incarcerated for drugs by poverty rate

Scatterplot of states (number of people incarcerated for drugs per 100,000 on the y-axis by expenditure on mental health including substance use treatment on the x axis by low, medium, and high poverty levels on the z-axis). Alaska, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and West Virginia are high poverty states that tend to be high on incarcerating people for drugs and low on mental health expenditure, except for West Virginia which is relatively low on both and New Mexico which is relatively moderate on incarcerating people for drugs and high on mental health expenditure. Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Maryland, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Jersey, and Utah are low poverty states that tend to be low on incarcerating people for drugs and variable on mental health expenditure. All other states are in the medium poverty category, which along with low and high poverty states, contribute to an overall negative relationship between number of people incarcerated for drugs and expenditure on mental health (i.e., the more a state incarcerates people for drugs, the less it spends on mental health).
Scatterplot of states (number incarcerated for drugs by overall mental health expenditure by poverty level). Number of People Incarcerated for Drugs (per 100k State Residents) = number of sentenced prisoners in state custody with most serious offense being drug-related in 2020 [number of sentenced prisoners in state custody in 2020 * percent of sentenced prisoners in state custody with most serious offense being drug-related / 100 (Bureau of Justice Statistics)] / state population total in 2020 (Decennial Census via tidycensus API) * 100,000. Expenditure on Mental Health including Substance Use Treatment (in Dollars per State Resident) = expenditure on state mental health services in dollars in 2020 (Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration) / state population total in 2020 (Decennial Census via tidycensus API) -- The mean of Maryland's 2019 and 2021 data was imputed, because Maryland was missing Uniform Reporting System data for 2020. Poverty rate = estimated number of people below poverty level between 2016 and 2020 / population total denominator (American Community Survey via tidycensus API). High, Medium, Low = states that were more than 1 standard deviation above the mean poverty rate, within 1 standard deviation of the mean, and more than 1 standard deviation below the mean, respectively. Resources used to compute these statistics can be found here.

Toward Support

The federal government has started to invest more heavily in mental health care and it is now illegal for insurers to make access to mental health and substance abuse treatment services more difficult than to physical health services. That is good progress. However, our health care system is broken. It costs much more than in any other high-income nation, we are the only high-income nation that does not guarantee coverage, and we have worse health outcomes than in any high-income nation. So, mental health care spending is higher than it should be and is not producing the outcomes it should be. In part, that means people are still not receiving the support they need due to access barriers. One in five people who need treatment cannot afford it, and there often are not enough low-cost or free options available.

Substance Use Treatment Accessibility

1,5002,0002,5003,000 Map of US states color-coded to represent the illicit drug use treatment gap (i.e., needing but not receiving treatment) per 100,000 state residents by state. The top five states, colored in the bright yellow/orange end of the spectrum, that have the biggest treatment gaps (i.e., the most people needing but not receiving treatment) are 1. Colorado (3,464 people per 100,000 state residents), 2. Nevada (2,802 people per 100,000 state residents), 3. California (2,592 people per 100,000 state residents), 4. Vermont (2,488 people per 100,000 state residents), and 5. Alaska (2,454 people per 100,000 state residents). The bottom five states, colored in the deep purple end of the spectrum, that have the biggest treatment gaps (i.e., the most people needing but not receiving treatment) are 1. Wyoming (1,387 people per 100,000 state residents), 2. Texas (1,462 people per 100,000 state residents), 3. South Carolina (1,543 people per 100,000 state residents), 4. South Dakota (1,579 people per 100,000 state residents), 5. Kansas (1,600 people per 100,000 state residents).Arizona: 2,083 per 100k state residentsLouisiana: 1,932 per 100k state residentsIdaho: 1,631 per 100k state residentsMinnesota: 1,963 per 100k state residentsNorth Dakota: 1,925 per 100k state residentsSouth Dakota: 1,579 per 100k state residentsNew York: 2,153 per 100k state residentsAlaska: 2,454 per 100k state residentsGeorgia: 1,680 per 100k state residentsIndiana: 2,255 per 100k state residentsMichigan: 1,895 per 100k state residentsMississippi: 1,756 per 100k state residentsOhio: 2,119 per 100k state residentsTexas: 1,462 per 100k state residentsNebraska: 1,835 per 100k state residentsColorado: 3,464 per 100k state residentsMaryland: 1,845 per 100k state residentsKansas: 1,600 per 100k state residentsIllinois: 1,990 per 100k state residentsWisconsin: 1,765 per 100k state residentsCalifornia: 2,592 per 100k state residentsIowa: 1,881 per 100k state residentsPennsylvania: 1,938 per 100k state residentsMontana: 2,306 per 100k state residentsMissouri: 1,901 per 100k state residentsFlorida: 1,760 per 100k state residentsKentucky: 1,909 per 100k state residentsMaine: 2,349 per 100k state residentsUtah: 1,803 per 100k state residentsOklahoma: 1,743 per 100k state residentsTennessee: 1,722 per 100k state residentsOregon: 2,266 per 100k state residentsWest Virginia: 1,728 per 100k state residentsArkansas: 1,793 per 100k state residentsWashington: 2,219 per 100k state residentsNorth Carolina: 2,002 per 100k state residentsVirginia: 1,865 per 100k state residentsWyoming: 1,387 per 100k state residentsAlabama: 2,010 per 100k state residentsSouth Carolina: 1,543 per 100k state residentsNew Mexico: 1,889 per 100k state residentsNew Hampshire: 1,887 per 100k state residentsVermont: 2,488 per 100k state residentsNevada: 2,802 per 100k state residentsHawaii: 1,993 per 100k state residentsMassachusetts: 2,347 per 100k state residentsRhode Island: 2,187 per 100k state residentsNew Jersey: 1,787 per 100k state residentsDelaware: 2,222 per 100k state residentsConnecticut: 2,052 per 100k state residentsDistrict of Columbia: NaN per 100k state residents
Hover over or tap a state to see its statistic. Illicit drug use treatment gap per 100,000 state residents – computed as estimated number of nonincarcerated people age 18 or older needing but not receiving treatment at a specialty facility for illicit drug (includes cannabis) use in the past year in thousands in 2018 and 2019 (Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration) / state population total in 2020 (Decennial Census via tidycensus API) * 100,000 * 1,000. Resources used to compute these statistics can be found here.

We should not just force people into treatment, though. Mandated treatment does not work and unethically denies people dignity. Plus, our current healthcare system is broken. The market needs major disruption to both destigmatize treatment and make it accessible. When accessible and accessed, substance abuse treatment is cost effective. It is also effective in terms of outcomes when it is evidence-based (e.g., cognitive behavioral therapy, contingency management). Meanwhile, incarceration may increase the risk of subsequent drug abuse.

Strategies

Apart from evidence-based substance abuse treatment, there are other effective intervention strategies, all of which are far more humane than incarceration: harm reduction, diversion, and drug courts.

Harm reduction is a strategy and philosophy that extends well beyond drugs. For example, seat belts and life jackets are a harm reduction tactics. We don’t ban driving cars and boats. We make doing so safer. In the drug arena, harm reduction involves a set of tactics directed at drug users who are not ready for treatment, intended to minimize the negative consequences of their use. They include syringe access and exchange programs; supervised injection facilities; overdose reversal training and supplies; HIV and hepatitis prevention, testing, and treatment; safe ride programs; safer sex education and supplies; drug checking, and more. They are effective in terms of both cost and outcomes (see here, here, here, here, and here). They are neither coercive nor punitive and are thus humane.

Diversion programs, also known as pretrial interventions, are a strategy that involves a set of tactics mostly directed at nonviolent, first-time offenses of many sorts, including drug-related offenses. They are intended to unburden courts, law enforcement, carceral facilities, and other criminal justice functions and to produce better outcomes than traditional routes of the criminal justice system. They allow people to avoid conviction and carrying a criminal record by requiring various actions that may include education, rehabilitation, restitution, or community service. They are cost effective (see here and here). The evidence for effectiveness in terms of outcomes is mixed though mostly positive (see here, here, and here). However, diversion programs are also generally coercive, in that the alternatives to prosecution are required. Additionally, pleading guilty and paying fees are sometimes required. Thus a substantial portion of diversion programs are inhumane. A prominent humane counterexample that is effective in terms of cost and outcomes (see here and here) is Seattle’s Law Enforcement Assisted Diversion program, participation in which is voluntary and involves referral to a network of supportive services.

Drug courts are a strategy that might be best thought of as a special kind of diversion program. The major differences are:

  1. Drug courts are part of the adjudication phase of the criminal justice pipeline, whereas the sort of diversion described above happens before trial and sentencing.
  2. Drug courts are focused on treatment-related actions of defendants, whereas pretrial diversion also includes restitution-related actions like community service.
  3. Drug courts typically involve a broader array of supportive services than do pretrial diversion programs.
  4. Drug courts are targeted at more than first-time offenders and specifically at drug-related offenses, including parents with pending child welfare cases, which disproportionately target Black women. Child welfare programs, also called family policing, have various mechanisms for punishing families as well.

Drug courts are the same as diversion in that treatment is required. In that way, drug courts are coercive and thus inhumane. Some aspects of drug courts are also discriminatory and punitive. So, drug courts appear to be the least humane of the alternative strategies. They are nonetheless effective in terms of both cost (see here and here) and outcomes (see here, here, and here).

In sum, harm reduction, diversion, and drug courts are effective strategies, in terms of both cost and outcomes. Although there are problems with and a lot of variability in implementation, and some aspects are racist and inhumane, these alternatives to incarceration are far more humane than incarceration is. They are generally support-focused rather than punishment-focused. Incarceration is not cost effective, it is not effective at producing positive outcomes for individuals or society, and it is egregiously inhumane. It is punishment, nothing more. Drug use and abuse do not deserve punishment.

Why We Still Punish

Given all the evidence and opposition against the Drug War, why has it not stopped already? The answer is complicated and parts of it are the subject of full books. There are at least three big components in the US context summarized below: Perseveration, Puritanism, and Politics.

Though they share a root, perseveration is not the same as perseverance. Perseverance is continued effort to do something despite failure. Perseveration is the inability to shift ideas or responses. Some may argue that continuing a half century’s worth of failed policies and practices is perseverance. We assert that it is perseveration. It is not anything lofty or noble or virtuous. The Drug War is a behemoth, it is difficult to reverse course on such a massive pursuit, and reversing course is not as simple as decriminalizing drugs, though that is a necessary condition.

The US may be big and diverse, but the Puritan roots run deep and their manifestation through present-day evangelical Protestantism is potent. The Puritan ethos is prejudiced against, among many things, using psychoactive substances to alter consciousness. It is also enthusiastically pro punishment. For a thorough review of how Puritanism and related causal forces historically contribute to our extreme penchant for punishment, see here.

Although Nixon officially declared the “War on Drugs,” the US has been criminalizing drugs for politically racist ends since 1875 and one crook of a President did not singlehandedly make it one of the greatest forces of punishment and destruction the Western hemisphere has ever seen. Escalating the drug war has been politically useful – and has had selfish and systemic functions – for politicians who have held office well before and during the half century since the Drug War’s declaration. In other words, for many of those who wield political power, the Drug War is working exactly as intended.